Data and Resources
Council Area ProjectionsCSV
Population projections for Scotland for all 32 council areas for 25 years...
Health and Social Care Partnership ProjectionsCSV
Population projections for Scotland for all 31 Health and Social Care...
Health Board ProjectionsCSV
Population projections for Scotland for all 14 NHS health boards for 25 years...
Population projections for Scotland on a country level for 25 years from the...
|Source||Base year population data is taken from the latest mid-year population estimates. Past trends in fertility, mortality, life expectancy and migration are used for setting assumptions for the projections. The international migration assumption is based largely on International Passenger Survey (IPS) data. The cross-border migration assumptions are based on National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) data. (https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections)|
|Author||National Records of Scotland, The Office for National Statistics|
|Maintainer||Geography, Population and Deprivation Support Team|
|Last Updated||May 12, 2023, 14:17 (BST)|
|Created||April 17, 2019, 11:18 (BST)|
|Contact Address||Public Health Scotland, Gyle Square, 1 South Gyle Crescent, Edinburgh EH12 9EB|
|Subject||Population and Migration|
|Time frame of data and timeliness||The most recent mid-year estimate is used as the base year for the projections. Population projections are made for 25 years from the year of publication.|
|Coverage||Data covers Scotland at country, NHS health board, health and social care partnership and council area level for 25 years from the date of publication.|
|Completeness||Projections are 100% complete for Scotland at country, NHS health board, health and social care partnership and council area level.|
|Accuracy||The assumptions about future patterns in fertility, mortality and migration are based on analysis of past trends. There is limited accuracy of migration estimates as there is no comprehensive registration system in the UK.|
|Continuity of data||Data covers 25 years from the year of publication and is based on the most recent mid-year estimate. Data is therefore subject to change in future releases.|
|Concepts and definitions||All data is presented for calendar years.|
|Disclosure||No disclosure has been applied.|
|Revision statement||Revised by NRS and ONS in January 2023. New assumptions were developed following the latest expert advice and latest provisional estimates of international migration.|
|Official statistics designation||National Statistics|
|Relevance and key uses of the statistics||Providing an estimate of the future population of Scotland. These numbers are used in national planning in numerous fields including health.|